Program
09h00 - 09h30
OPENING REMARKS - Video
Carlos Ivan Simonsen Leal (President - Getulio Vargas Foundation)
Murilo Ferreira (CEO - Vale) // Luciano Ciani Pires (CFO - Vale)
Rubens Penha Cysne (Dean - FGV EPGE)
Roberto Castello Branco (Director - Vale)
09h30 - 10h45
Rubens Penha Cysne (Dean - FGV EPGE)
Nobel Lecture I
Edward C. Prescott (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis and Arizona State University)
How to Restore US Prosperity - Video
10h45 - 11h15
Coffee-Break
11h15 - 13h15
Chairman: Clovis de Faro (FGV EPGE)
Bruce Kasman (JP Morgan)
The Global Economic Outlook - Video
Marco Terrones (IMF)
Global Recessions and Global Recoveries - Video
13h15 - 14h30
Lunch
14h30 - 16h30
Chairman: Ricardo Cavalcanti (Director of Research - FGV EPGE)
Marco Bonomo (FGV EPGE) and Tiago Berriel (FGV EPGE)
Aggregate Uncertainty, Disappointment Aversion and the Business Cycles - Video
Frank Schorfheide (University of Pennsylvania)
A New Class of Nonlinear Time Series Models for the Evaluation of DSGE Models - Video
16h30 - 17h30
Coffee-Break
09h10 - 10h15
Aloisio Araujo (Deputy Dean - FGV EPGE)
Nobel Lecture II
Chris Sims (Princeton University)
Using Financial Data in Macroeconomic Model - Video
10h15 - 10h45
Coffee-Break
10h45 - 12h45
Chairman: Fernando de Holanda Barbosa (FGV EPGE)
Eswar S. Prasad (Cornell University)
International Spillovers: Real and Financial Channels - Video
Marcelle Chauvet (U.C. Riverside)
Microfoundations of Inflation Persistence in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve - Video
12h45 - 14h00
Lunch
14h00 - 16h00
Chairman: Luis Braido (FGV EPGE)
Ataman Ozyildirim (TCB)
On Business Cycle Indicators for Emerging Economies: Applications to China, India, and Brazil - Video
Gary Hansen (UCLA)
Fiscal Reform and Government Debt in Japan: A Neoclassical Perspective - Video
16h00 - 16h30
Coffee-Break